The Rotunda as seen from the east colonnade

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Biden’s First Year

Date & Time

October 23, 2021 @ 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM EDT

Location

UVA Alumni Hall, Ballroom
211 Emmet Street South
Charlottesville, VA 22903

Overview

Professor Larry J. Sabato will provide commentary on President Joe Biden’s first year in office and assess the current political landscape and how it has changed in the past year. Professor Sabato will then turn to the 2022 electoral environment and upcoming midterm elections.

Harvard Political Review just named the Crystal Ball #1 in predicting the Electoral College in 2020, getting 49 of 50 states correct as well as two competitive congressional districts that have one electoral vote each (NE-2 and ME-2): “While crystal balls may not exist in real life, Larry Sabato’s editorial team might be the next best thing.”

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This event is part of the More Than the Score UVA faculty-led lecture series. Find more talks like this one at More Than the Score.


Temporary Masking Policy: Because of the Delta variant, UVA has put in place a mask requirement for all people – vaccinated and unvaccinated – who enter UVA properties.

Speaker(s)

Larry J. Sabato

Director, Center for Politics; Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics, College and Graduate School of Arts & Sciences

Larry J. Sabato is a New York Times best-selling author, has won four Emmys, and is recognized as one of the nation’s most respected political analysts. He appears multiple times a week on national and international T.V., including CNN, BBC, and CNN International. A Rhodes Scholar, Sabato is the founder and director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and has had visiting appointments at Oxford and Cambridge universities in England. Sabato is the author or editor of two dozen books on American politics. He has taught over 20,000 students in his career, and the University of Virginia has given him its highest honor, the Thomas Jefferson Award. In 2020-21, Sabato celebrates his 50th year of association with the University of Virginia.

Sabato is the editor and lead author of the upcoming book, A Return to Normalcy?: The 2020 Election that (Almost) Broke America explores the 2020 election and its outcome.

Sabato heads up Sabato’s Crystal Ball, which has won numerous awards. The Pew Charitable Trust recognized the Crystal Ball as the #1 leader in the field of political prediction, and The Daily Beast designated it as one of the top political sites on the web. A thorough statistical analysis of all 2018 prognosticators found that the Crystal Ball was the best (Nate Silver of 538.com was second). Harvard Political Review just named the Crystal Ball #1 in predicting the Electoral College in 2020, getting 49 of 50 states correct as well as two competitive congressional districts that have one electoral vote each (NE-2 and ME-2): “While crystal balls may not exist in real life, Larry Sabato’s editorial team might be the next best thing.”

Sabato has received four Emmys for the PBS television documentaries Out of Order, which highlights the dysfunctional U.S. Senate; The Kennedy Half-Century, which examines the life, assassination, and lasting legacy of President John F. Kennedy; Feeling Good About America, which looks at the 1976 presidential election; and Charlottesville, which looks at the events in the titular city during August 11 and 12, 2017.

Professor Sabato is very active on social media. His Twitter feed (@LarrySabato) was named by Time Magazine as one of the 140 best.

Program Host

Lifetime Learning is a program in the Office of Engagement. You can follow us on FacebookTwitter, the Thoughts From the Lawn blog, or subscribe to our email list and we will send you notifications about upcoming Lifetime Learning events, information, and offerings.

In partnership with the Alumni Association.

Media Inquires

The University of Virginia’s Lifetime Learning Program in the Office of Engagement offers faculty-led talks, extended learning seminars, and online resources to all alumni, parents, and friends.

We look forward to answering your questions and introducing the media to speakers when appropriate.

When referencing our programs, please state, This program is presented by UVA’s Lifetime Learning Program in the Office of Engagement. Visit the UVA Lifetime Learning website for upcoming events and to learn more about us.”

Media inquires should be directed to:

Althea Brooks
Senior Director
UVA Lifetime Learning
Office of Engagement
434-249-4348 (Cell)
althea@virginia.edu

About the Book

Return To Normalcy? : 2020 Election That (Almost) Broke America
Sabato, Larry

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